2025
Controlled Experiment
Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivity
Developers took approximately 19% longer when AI tools were available in the studied setting.
METR
- AI-Assisted Development
Evidence note
Three randomised field experiments involving professional developers at Microsoft, Accenture and an anonymous Fortune 100 company.
Randomised access to an AI coding assistant, with development task completion used as a primary productivity outcome.
4,867 developers across three experiments.
Why it matters. Lornets interpretation.
There is credible causal evidence that AI assistance can materially increase development output in some professional settings. That result does not independently establish faster releases, higher production quality or equivalent increases in business value.
This is the Lornets reading of the source, not a finding of the source itself.
Framework domains
Where this applies
Last verified 2026-08-11
2025
Controlled Experiment
Developers took approximately 19% longer when AI tools were available in the studied setting.
METR
2025
Industry Research
AI adoption among technology professionals was high.
DORA / Google Cloud
2025
Industry Survey
84% of respondents to the relevant question said they were using or planning to use AI tools in development.
Stack Overflow